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Sunday, October 19, 2008

Stevenote Post-Mortem

Filed under: Apple, Macintosh, iPredictions — Tags: , , — Jonathan Rothwell @ 11:40

I understand I’m a little late with this. Well, very late. Oh well.

I’m impressed - mildly - with Apple’s decision to cut the price of the base MacBook to $999. Of course, due to the weakening pound (DARLING!!!) it’s actually become £20 more expensive this side of the pond, but hopefully, if the economy stabilises, the price will drop to a slightly more reasonable £649, or somewhere in that region.

Now, the newer MacBooks. Let’s get the most important bit out of the way first - there’s no denying they are beautiful. However, it seems a bit odd to me that Apple now effectively has a similar situation to that it had with the iMac in 2002-ish, when it was selling both the G3 and G4s at the same time.

This makes me think that Apple is planning something. The base MacBook is prohibitively expensive to a lot of people, so they’ve now dropped the price. However, in the post-keynote Q&A, the Dear Leader himself said, when asked if we were going to see a netbook:

…that’s a nascent market that’s still getting started.

Now, looking at Apple’s track record with ‘nascent markets’ (multi-touch smartphones, portable HDD-based music players) this is the sort of situation Apple loves to throw itself into. I suspect that Apple is preparing a cheaper ultrasub, which, I suspect, will be called the MacBook Mini, and will be announced at MacBook 2009. I predict it will be similar in appearance to the iPod Nano (with the colour options), have a 10-12inch screen, replace the white MacBook, and be priced at $899 (so, for us Brits, depending on whether Brown’s kept his mouth shut, between £499 and £599.)

The Mac Mini is also in desperate need of a revamp, so I think that will also be revamped at MW 2009. I suspect the two machines will be desktop/notebook partners - they’ll both have 2gB of RAM, be made of aluminium, be aimed squarely at the strapped-for cash family or student. If Apple can provide a real recession-busting product, then in my opinion, it’s guaranteed to be a winner.

Other points of note - the 24″ Cinema Display now has a webcam in it (how did it take this long?) and Steve Jobs’s blood pressure is 110/70. Steve certainly seemed better (I’ve yet to actually watch the video to see, but from the photos he looked more ‘healthy’ skinny than ’sick’ skinny) but the fact that he left a lot of the keynote to Tim Whatshisname and Jonathan Jonny Ive came as a bit of a surprise to some.

I think it makes sense though. This tells shareholders that although Steve is here to stay for now, Apple is planning for its future. There’s no denying that the Great Leader is getting older, and will eventually have to pack it in. It may not be for another five years - heck, it may not even be for another decade or two. However, Apple has to show that it can function without Jobs’s RDF; they certainly are trying to project, to the markets, the idea that it’s resilient. And, I have to say, I think it may well work.



Saturday, June 7, 2008

iPredict for WWDC…

Filed under: Apple, Communications, Macintosh, iPredictions — Tags: , , , , , , , , — Jonathan Rothwell @ 12:13

The infamous iHype has been steadily growing in anticipation of Steve Jobs’s keynote on Monday at WWDC.

The Macworld offices are, evidently, very busy, with new rumours coming in left, right and centre. And this is not to mention the Apple rumour sites, whose editors must, judging by the number of rumours we’re seeing, be on forty caffiene tablets an hour.

Rumors include a tablet Mac, larger iPhones with 3G and GPS, 14-inch MacBooks with aluminium casing, and all manner of other goodies.

I have slightly different predictions:

  • It is almost certain we will see a 3G iPhone, although I suspect the case design will remain largely unchanged. We’ll see, at most, an all aluminium and glass design - I severely doubt the authenticity of the iPhone with white plastic casing. We’ll see voice dialing, a revised home button which glows different colours when SMSes, MMSes, etc are received, 802.11n, and the actual launch of the 2.0 firmware and the App Store. O2 will also offer the iPhone on a pay-as-you-go plan in the UK, charging 11p a minute for each call and SMS, and offering free Internet access (3G, GPRS, EDGE and Wi-Fi with The Cloud).
  • I suspect we may see new MacBooks and MacBook Pros next week. Both devices will be made completely out of aluminium, and the MacBook Pro will take on a more ‘brushed metal’ appearance, similar to the iMac. The MacBook will have a black surround around the screen, also similar to the iMac.
  • The first features of Mac OS X 10.6 will be revealed. It’ll be called Cougar, and will focus heavily on polish and reliability. One of the most immediately obvious features is Fairy Dust, a new set of graphical transitions that occur when a window is minimised, an icon is undocked, etc. This will mean that the Genie effect is revised, and now causes the window to ’sink’ as well as warp into the Dock, and that when the Trash is emptied, the Trashcan will glow and the items inside will appear to explode. Cougar will also include a new Terminal, which allows users to switch, using a menu, between the Bourne shell, the Korn shell, bash, dash, csh, tcsh, and a new, Apple designed shell called crash (Completely Redesigned Apple SHell). It’ll also have native support for ZFS and ext2/3/4. The new graphical enhancements will give Cougar the slogan ‘everything that happens is a blockbuster’, and therefore the new intro movie will reflect that fact, flying around a maze of historic Macintosh models while Ed Welch’s theme tune to Blockbusters plays in the background - additionally, the new intro movie will reveal that OS X has finally been translated into Welsh.
  • ‘One More Thing’ will be a new revision of the Mac Mini. It will include an all aluminium design, and will also have FireWire 800 on board, 802.11n, a SuperDrive, keyboard and mouse as standard, and a $200 discount off a 20″ Cinema Display.
  • There will be one more iddy-biddy thing: there’ll be Blu-Ray SuperDrives for Macs, which can be ordered separately and installed by hand, or added as a build configuration option for an extra $300-ish.
Even if I am entirely wrong, it’ll be very interesting to see what is revealed on Monday. Now I just need to work out what time the keynote starts, and what time it’ll be in London when that happens.



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